Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.266947 3.875055 4.595678 5.521257 6.691059 8.137325 1.008747e+01
2024-10-27 2.331645 3.044124 3.999626 5.408449 7.492773 10.565468 1.564671e+01
2024-11-03 2.027214 2.821890 3.981704 5.869321 9.013852 14.349000 2.486209e+01
2024-11-10 1.763650 2.574455 3.835724 6.052806 10.119195 17.894127 3.585106e+01
2024-11-17 1.593461 2.422898 3.786834 6.355597 11.506106 22.559448 5.260640e+01
2024-11-24 1.405637 2.204409 3.575052 6.300011 12.171526 26.054925 6.967741e+01
2024-12-01 1.275285 2.058005 3.455614 6.381310 13.145197 30.788890 9.552688e+01
2024-12-08 1.162498 1.923299 3.330109 6.414281 14.020184 35.798608 1.291883e+02
2024-12-15 1.096151 1.861409 3.329679 6.712453 15.669744 44.197380 1.920643e+02
2024-12-22 0.996698 1.723589 3.154940 6.571801 16.102076 48.995858 2.475776e+02
2024-12-29 0.924428 1.628478 3.052237 6.578591 16.970658 56.127160 3.381658e+02
2025-01-05 0.852378 1.524965 2.915885 6.470800 17.459396 62.240441 4.437740e+02
2025-01-12 0.802792 1.470964 2.901691 6.744177 19.573387 79.195649 7.691527e+02
2025-01-19 0.728176 1.358185 2.742907 6.605194 20.301670 91.157017 1.172773e+03
2025-01-26 0.706353 1.352821 2.830562 7.197554 24.221911 129.359159 2.843379e+03
2025-02-02 0.667009 1.303294 2.801954 7.434409 26.918265 166.790902 6.324464e+03
2025-02-09 0.638697 1.274167 2.818527 7.826235 30.714559 226.368282 1.870505e+04
2025-02-16 0.593862 1.201089 2.707882 7.754212 32.185774 269.422746 4.541420e+04
2025-02-23 0.560752 1.151385 2.651211 7.859567 34.796035 339.752307 1.747079e+05
2025-03-02 0.528772 1.100471 2.582642 7.902319 37.158619 422.261250 1.060576e+06
2025-03-09 0.510760 1.081330 2.600249 8.289596 42.238876 595.216184 2.232774e+08
2025-03-16 0.477285 1.019917 2.485551 8.106767 43.237786 693.663806 NaN
2025-03-23 0.452312 0.977359 2.420357 8.115587 45.798480 869.470148 NaN